Weekend Box Office Predictions for February 14-17, 2020

Courtesy of Box Office Mojo

Over the course of this four-day weekend (Valentines Day and Presidents Day included), we entertain four new releases: Sonic the Hedgehog, The Photograph, Fantasy Island, and Downhill. When predicting the performance of these newcomers, I’d like to apply the rule of three…Downhill is being excluded because no one wants to see that. The rule of three states when there are three new releases at the box office, one will over-perform, one will perform in line with expectations, and one will underperform. I believe Sonic the Hedgehog will over-perform, and with momentum on its side, it looks like Paramount made the right call in pulling the film and fixing Sonic’s teeth. The Photograph, the only romantic film being released this Valentine’s Day, should do fine off of that reason alone, but the solid reviews do help. Lastly, Fantasy Island, which held no Thursday previews and doesn’t seem to be very good, appears to be heading for a lackluster performance at the box office…and expectations weren’t that high to begin with. So, do I have any clue about what I’m talking about? I guess we’ll find out.

RankFilmGross ($)% Change (from previous weekend)
3The Invisible Man9,230,727-39%
4I Still Believe8,580,000N/A
5Sonic the Hedgehog4,391,318-43%
6The Hunt4,350,000N/A
7The Way Back4,248,563-48%
8Call of the Wild3,651,698-46%
10Bad Boys for Life1,873,693-38%

Author: Teddy Frederick

Movies have been my passion since I was a young teenager. I had realized how much I loved going to the theater and watching something on the big screen, and I wanted to feel that sensation as often as possible. I began seeing as many movies as my schedule and wallet could allow, and in wanting to give back to the film community and myself, I wrote film reviews. I first posted them under the audience reviews of Rotten Tomatoes; if I ever go back to those posts now I cringe at the writer I used to be. In 2018, I had the idea to start my own space to post my content and thus Movie Reviews Today was born. I am a film and media studies student at Arizona St. University. I am also a three-year shift supervisor with Starbucks. My hope is to soak up as many movies and movie knowledge as I can moving forward and to share my passion with my readers.

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